Mario Nawfal

🚨ANALYSIS: DID THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OR HAMAS BOMB THE AL AHLI BAPTIST HOSPITAL? Part 2 As promised, I try to be as objective as possible, so I asked my team to speak to a group of geolocating analysts and OSINT members that believe the explosion at the hospital is most likely from a misfire by Hamas or the Islamic Jihad. This is in-line with the IDF claims that "the deadly blast at the Gaza hospital was from a failed Islamic Jihad rocket" Below is a small summary of that argument, which my team will further analyze and post about again tomorrow, in more detail. This will be as detailed as my earlier tweet, which was an analysis by a Marine Corps Veteran Explosives & Ordinance Expert, who explained why he believes the bomb was American, launched by Israel. THEORY: "A missile launched by a Palestinian group exploded mid-air (Reason unknown) and one piece fell on the hospital causing an explosion. The geolocation and timing of the footage is conclusive." The line of evidence is very long and complex. A combination of videos, geolocations and map images, is leading to the calculation of the exact hit (link with more details in comments) This opens the discussion if the hit was maybe an accident by the Islamic Republic, an ally to Hamas, as claimed by the Israeli Defense Force. The claim is that rockets from Netiv Haasara were either intercepted or malfunctioned, and accidentally hit the Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital. Geo experts claim the data on the launch site & landing location to be accurate. To note, after making the same claims, another Geo Expert says this: "People, please keep in mind I am not coming to any conclusion on what caused the explosion. I’ll leave that to the experts. All I can say with confidence is that an explosion took place at the hospital, and it was live streamed." MY THOUGHTS: I stand by my assumption that, based on the size of this explosion, the fact the IDF bombed other hospitals in the past, and they warned hospitals to evacuate, the explosion of the Hospital in Gaza was MOST LIKELY by the IDF. I also think it was unintentional. It makes no sense for the Israeli military to bomb a hospital full of civilians. Humanitarian reasons aside, the international outcry alone will severely harm public support of the war. We will be analyzing this counter argument, and await more information tomorrow, along with the evidence the IDF said they will release. As always, I am open to change my mind as soon as there is evidence. It is too early to come to conclusions, as we need more daytime imagery and videos (i.e. today) Below are various videos and images supporting the claims above. This includes raw footage shared by the IDF, allegedly showing a rocket aimed at Israel, misfiring, and exploding at 18:59, the same moment the hospital was hit.

🚨BREAKING: The US has issued a travel warning for Lebanon The State Department has raised the Travel Advisory for Lebanon to Level 4 – Do Not Travel due to the unpredictable security situation related to rocket, missile, and artillery exchanges between Israel and Hizballah or other armed militant factions. The Travel Advisory was also updated to reflect the authorized departure of some non-emergency U.S. government personnel and eligible family members from U.S. Embassy Beirut due to the unpredictable security situation in Lebanon.

🚨BREAKING FOOTAGE: The Director of the Bombed Al-Ahli Hospital Speaks On Bombing: "The IDF told us, 'we warned you yesterday with two bombs. So why have you not evacuated the hospital until this moment?'" Full Video Transcript: "To tell them and to the whole world, today, this enemy who is threatening those hospitals under the hearing and sight of the whole world, who did not move, nor did it take deterrent measures, nor did it take decisive measures against this enemy. Rather, the enemy was receiving a message of reassurance and a message of permission to bomb hospitals. This was completed on this day in this brutal massacre, the likes of which we rarely hear in the present world, but rather hear about in the Bygone eras that tell stories of the brutality and fascism represented today by this occupation."

🚨BREAKING - Iran Embassy in Syria Just Posted: 'TIME IS UP'

🚨FOOTAGE JUST IN: Global Protests Erupt in Response to the Hospital Bombing in Gaza.

🚨JUST IN: A guided missile was fired from the border of Lebanon towards Israel. Source: IDF

🚨BREAKING: Biden Takes Action on Gaza Hospital Explosion "President Biden is angry about what happened at the hospital in Gaza and directed his national security team to collect information to find out the details." - Pentagon Press Secretary John Kirby

🚨BREAKING: Israeli Artillery and Airstrikes currently ongoing in Southern Lebanon are getting worse. ANALYSIS: This is likely a response to Hezbollah movements as they prepare to launch a large attack on Israel in response to 5 of their members getting killed by Israel earlier today, as well as the bombing of the Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital.

🚨BREAKING: Israeli Defense Force is apparently showing Reuters: "Drone footage it says is of Gaza hospital post explosion. Footage shows hospital was not directly hit. Hit was in the parking lot, according to IDF images" Source: Emily Rose from Reuters

🚨BREAKING: Continuous explosions are being heard in Southern Lebanon, likely due to Israeli artillery fire.

Tehran, Iran, at 3 AM!!

🚨JUST IN - Iran Foreign Minister speaking on Israel, following the Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital bomb: "TIME IS OVER"

🚨BREAKING: Macron's Statement on Gaza Hospital Bombing French President Macron's statement on the Gaza hospital bombing highlights a remarkable paradigm shift: "Humanitarian access to the Gaza Strip must be opened without delay." "Nothing can justify a strike against a hospital. Nothing can justify targeting civilians." "France condemns the attack on the Al-Ahli Arabi hospital in Gaza, which caused so many Palestinian victims. We think of them. All the light must be shed." This signifies a notable departure from France's previous stance of unwavering support towards Israel.

🚨EXPERT ANALYSIS: WHO BOMBED THE AL AHLI BAPTIST HOSPITAL IN GAZA? Marine Corps Veteran expert analysis of the recent bombing incident at the hospital reveals critical findings: - Fuel Explosion Duration: The initial explosion likely lasted 0.5-0.75 seconds, emitting light for a brief period. This suggests it is not an incendiary device. - Parking Lot Damage: The damage in the parking lot is attributed to either overpressure or a fuel explosion. There's minimal debris near the cars. - Shielding Effect: A surrounding building shielded one side of the parking lot, preventing diesel/gas fires from reaching the vehicles. All windows in nearby buildings shattered due to the primary and fuel explosions. - Last Video Variation: The final video displays a smaller fuel explosion, and the submunition release is less clear. CONCLUSION: - The explosive device likely ranged from 300-600 lbs. Larger bombs would've scattered more debris in the parking lot than on buildings. - A 700lb+ bomb would've caused more damage to building tops due to shockwaves. - Most visible damage is attributed to the fuel explosion; the primary explosion likely caused structural damage. Probable munitions and their possessors: 1. Mk-82/Mk-83 General Purpose Bombs: - Possessed by: Multiple countries, including the US and NATO members. Versatile, unguided bombs. 2. GBU-39 Small Diameter Bomb (SDB): - Possessed by: United States and allies. Known for precision strikes. 3. GBU-12 Paveway II Laser-Guided Bomb: - Possessed by: United States and allies. Converts unguided bombs into precise munitions. 4. AGM-65 Maverick Missile: - Possessed by: United States and allies. Air-to-surface missile for precision strikes. Audio Analysis: Based on the video, we can hear what the Hamas missiles and a JDAM missile sound like. Then, we have the audio of the attack on the hospital, and it sounds very similar to a JDAM missile. Hamas does not have the infrastructure and capabilities to fire a JDAM. These insights offer clarity into the incident, highlighting potential munitions and the militaries that may possess them, and that could have been behind the attacks. FINAL CONCLUSION: Based on the evidence, this could not have been the Islamic Jihad, as claimed by the Israeli Defense Force, based on our analysis of the information we have so far. They do not possess the capabilities for such advanced weaponry. IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: This is an analysis is preliminary, and is done by a Marine Corps Veteran Explosives & Ordinance Expert, and reviewed by many others. As I've said before, we CANNOT come to final conclusions just yet. The IDF has denied the above claims, and has stated it shared evidence with US Intelligence, including footage and intercepted conversations, that will prove the Islamic Jihad were behind the bombing of the Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital. This footage and the conversations will also be made public, according to Reuters. The videos are compiled from various sources and do not represent our opinion in any way.

🚨President of ⁧ .Iran Ibrahim Raisi, commenting on ⁧the Gaza hospital bombing⁩: The flames of American and Israeli bombs will “devour” them He vows a 'harsh response' over what happened to Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital. t.co/VYoWfPoFh1

🚨BREAKING: The Israeli Defense Force will release footage and intercepted conversations that will prove the Islamic Jihad were behind the bombing of the Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital. Source: Reuters

🚨JUST IN: The Israeli consulate in Istanbul, Turkey, has been overrun after protesters broke through a police barricade. Source: Voreposte

🚨URGENT: The Northern Command of the Israeli Army informed the army forces along the Lebanese border of the need to prepare for a “sudden and strong” attack from Southern Lebanon. ANALYSIS: Hezbollah lost 5 members due to Israeli strikes today. If you add the Al-Ahli Hospital bombing in Gaza, and the ongoing protests in Lebanon, a strong response from Hezbollah is not surprising.

🚨BREAKING: GAZA HOSPITAL BOMBING PROMPTS PROTESTS IN LEBANON AS JORDAN CANCELS SUMMIT WITH PALESTINE & U.S Protests are breaking in various Arab countries, including Lebanon, where protesters march on the US & French embassies, following the bombing of the Gaza Hospital bombing

🚨BREAKING: Israeli Defense Force spokesman Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari claims the deadly blast at the Gaza hospital was from a failed Islamic Jihad rocket. He says 450 rockets have failed and fallen short in the Strip since the fighting began.

🚨ISRAELI JOURNALIST ADMITS TO ISRAEL BOMBING GAZA HOSPITAL? Israeli journalist, and an IDF reservist on orders, swiftly posts about the bomb that fell on the hospital. He claims the Israeli Air Force struck a 'terrorist base inside a hospital in Gaza' and adds an image of the hospital. He deletes the post shortly after. Did Hananya Naftali admit that the Israeli Air Force bombed the hospital? Or was this a false assumption?

🚨JUST IN: Hamas Leader Blames U.S. for Gaza Hospital Attack Palestinian Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh: "The United States is responsible for the attack on a Gaza hospital that killed hundreds of Palestinians." "The hospital massacre confirms the enemy's brutality and the extent of his feeling of defeat." This attack will be "a new turning point." Source: Reuters

🚨BREAKING: Biden is considering a $100 billion funding request that includes aid to Israel and Ukraine

🚨BREAKING: Doctors Without Borders Blame Israel for Hospital Bombing "We are horrified by the Israeli bombing of the Ahli Arab hospital in Gaza , which treated patients and housed displaced people. Hundreds of people were killed according to local authorities. This is an unacceptable massacre."

🚨JUST IN - Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu on the hospital explosion: "As the whole world knows - the barbaric terrorists in Gaza are the ones who attacked the hospital in Gaza, not the IDF. He who brutally murdered our children, also murders his children.' A few minutes ago, the IDF claimed the Islamic Jihad was behind the attack. The Islamic Jihad Movement denies lsrael's accusation of responsibility for one of its missiles falling in the courtyard of the Baptist Hospital.

🚨IDF: ISLAMIC JIHAD MISFIRE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE GAZA HOSPITAL BOMBING Official Statement by the Israeli Defense Force: From the analysis of the IDF's operational systems, an enemy rocket barrage was carried out towards Israel, which passed in the vicinity of the hospital, when it was hit. According to intelligence information, from a number of sources we have, the Islamic Jihad is responsible for the failed shooting that hit the hospital.

🚨ANALYSIS ON THE ROCKET THAT HIT THE HOSPITAL: - The explosion was very large for a Hamas rocket - There was no secondary explosion which means it wasn't a weapons site - We need forensic materials analysis, but it is unlikely to be gathered. - The blast yield is similar to IDF munitions, which makes it unlikely to be Hamas - It is similar to a JDAM 1,000lb munition by yield - A 1,000lb bomb is a missile the size is the weight of a Fiat 500. There are no secondary explosions so no weapons store. - Final thoughts: There were no secondary explosions. Hamas might have been hiding in the hospital, but it wasn't a weapons/rocket store.

🚨 BREAKING: Attempted Breach at Israeli Embassy in Amman, Jordan, by Demonstrators

🚨 BREAKING - International Outcry Over Gaza Hospital Bombing: World Reacts to Tragedy The international community unites in condemnation after the bombing of the Baptist Hospital in Gaza, (expected at 800+ deaths so far): 🇶🇦Qatari Foreign Ministry: "We condemn the Israeli bombing of the Baptist Hospital in Gaza and consider it a heinous massacre against defenseless civilians." 🇵🇸Islamic Jihad Spokesman to Al Jazeera: "The bombing of the hospital proves that the war on Gaza targets all Palestinians, not just Hamas." 🇸🇦Arab League: "We condemn the bombing of the hospital in Gaza and call on 'the West to stop this tragedy immediately." 🌐World Health Organization: "We condemn the attack on Al-Ahli Hospital, reports indicate hundreds of deaths and injuries, and we demand the protection of civilians and health facilities." 🚑Palestinian Red Crescent to Al Arabiya: "We have repeatedly warned against Israel’s targeting of hospitals and medical facilities." 🇪European Council: "Targeting civilian facilities is against the law." 🇺🇸Pentagon: "Hamas deploys its forces inside hospitals, and this shows its brutality and causes more casualties." 🇴🇲Sultanate of Oman denounces and condemns the targeting of Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital in Gaza, describing it as a “war crime and genocide” and a “violation of international humanitarian law.”