🇸🇦🇾🇪 Bab el-Mandeb handles about 12% of world trade, and the Houthis are now reported to hold Mocha and the Hanish Islands on the edge of it.
Mocha is a Red Sea port, the Hanish Islands sit near the choke point between Yemen and the Horn of Africa, and together they give an Iran-backed force more say over what floats north toward Suez.
Saudi Arabia cannot treat this as one threat:
* Close or harass the strait, and energy and container traffic pay.
* Hit Aramco sites and airbases inside the kingdom, and the export machine takes damage at the source.
* Answer only with jets, and you degrade capabilities without reversing who owns the shore.
Airstrikes are good at making a launch site disappear, but they are bad at evicting fighters from towns, ports, and islands. That gap is the whole strategic problem.
Zoom out and the stakes leave Yemen. Continued Houthi gains tighten Iran’s hand on a waterway major economies need open, so Washington and Beijing both lose if this becomes a permanent tax on shipping.
The question is simple: Can Saudi Arabia live with a hostile coast on Bab el-Mandeb... or does “containment” mean losing the strait in slow motion?
Source: DW News YT / Writer: Val
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