Mario Nawfal

Everyone seems convinced the Iran war is about to restart. I've been a lone wolf claiming the war is over since Trump made the threats to wipe out Iran's civilization on April 7th Days later, a ceasefire was announced. Since then, we've seen sporadic fighting, but with 95% fewer strikes than during the war itself. The war never returned to anything close to the intensity we saw in March. But things are changing. The U.S. is conducting a massive military build-up. Israel and Iran are on high alert. And Iran has now struck more ships in the Strait of Hormuz than it did at any other time since the war. Almost every indicator points to a repeat of February 28 and a full-scale resumption of the war. Yet I still believe the war is over. My prediction is that Trump will instead launch a limited, largely symbolic strike to further degrade Iran's capabilities, declare victory, and move on. The reason is simple: There is no military solution to the Iran problem. Iran reportedly has almost as many missile launchers as it did before the war (400 vs. 420). It's rapidly rebuilding its missile stockpiles, while U.S. regional bases and radar systems have sustained significant damage, and interceptor inventories are critically depleted. The massive U.S. military build-up is more likely intended to deter a major Iranian retaliation following a limited strike than to prepare for another prolonged war. Trump wants out of the region. But Iran has made that extremely difficult by seeking control over the Strait of Hormuz. Trump tried to force Tehran to concede, and failed. In my view, his remaining choices are to accept Iran's position and walk away, escalate into another war with no clear military solution, or resort to the unthinkable: nuclear weapons. And unlike some, I don't believe Trump is crazy enough to use a nuclear warhead. So I stand by my assessment: The war is over. But here's an important caveat: I'm significantly less confident in that prediction than I was before. Iran's increasingly maximalist demands have changed the equation, and the probability that I'm wrong is now higher than at any point since I made this call. I could be wrong, but I'm not changing my assessment simply because the overwhelming consensus has moved in the opposite direction.

🇾🇪🇸🇦 The Houthis are capturing Saudi-backed military vehicles in Yemen, apparently while chewing khat. Footage circulating from Yemen reportedly shows Houthi fighters casually taking possession of vehicles belonging to the Saudi-backed Presidential Leadership Council. And the fighters appear remarkably relaxed about the whole thing. Some are reportedly chewing khat, a stimulant plant widely consumed in Yemen. Meanwhile, the Houthis are advancing against Saudi-backed forces, cutting off strategic roads and tightening their grip around Taiz. Saudi Arabia is fighting to contain a growing military threat, while its opponents are apparently treating captured vehicles like souvenirs from an afternoon drive. Source: @TabzLIVE on TG / Writer: Oliver

🇫🇷 Firefighters arrived after protesters were BURNING Lyon’s tourist office on UNESCO-listed Place Bellecour in France They got in about an hour after the fire started at the Place Bellecour building during today’s protests. The welcome point for every visitor to one of Europe’s biggest squares is now a burned shell. Writer: Lucas t.co/5uYADDJeEZ

🇺🇸 A former U.S. Army sniper claims AMERICAN SPECIAL FORCES FOUGHT REPTILIAN BEINGS In a secret underground base NEAR AREA 51 And somehow the story gets even crazier. Nick Betts says an elite JSOC operator told him about an emergency mission to investigate a secret facility that had suddenly gone silent. The first team sent inside allegedly disappeared. A second team arrived carrying advanced energy weapons, only to encounter three reptilian-looking creatures armed with the same technology. According to the account, one American soldier was killed before the creatures were eliminated. His body was allegedly cremated, the death disguised as a training accident, and the survivors ordered to keep quiet. And here's the part Betts says convinced him. When he questioned another operator about the incident, the man allegedly grabbed him by the throat and threatened him. There's just one rather important detail: The entire story came from an unnamed soldier during a night of HEAVY DRINKING in Poland... Source: Daily Mail, Insider Paper / Writer: Oliver

🇦🇱 Protests in Albania are getting WILD, and people are throwing ROCKS AND BOTTLES at police vans It has been weeks of student-led demonstrations over corruption and living costs, and the police response has been getting heavier. The government accuses the protest of foreign influence, saying real students aren’t the ones smashing things. The PM refuses to quit, says elections already happened, and he’ll talk about school costs, but he's not leaving power. Writer: Lucas t.co/Tiq1Sbydz7

🇵🇸 Palestinians can't even harvest their own olives in peace. Israeli settlers reportedly attacked Palestinian farmers harvesting olives near Salfit in the occupied West Bank. And this isn't an isolated incident. Similar attacks on olive harvesters have been reported across the West Bank. Imagine being attacked just for picking olives from your own trees. Absolutely heartbreaking and infuriating. Writer: Lynn t.co/BmIZLefJnx

🇫🇷 LYON IS DESCENDING INTO CHAOS!! THE CITY'S TOURIST OFFICE HAS BEEN SET ON FIRE Wild scenes from Place Bellecour show flames engulfing a tourist office building as violent unrest spreads through the streets. Masked rioters have been firing projectiles and fireworks at police, who have responded with tear gas. And firefighters are now dealing with the consequences of a protest that has spiraled into outright destruction. One of Lyon's most recognizable public squares has become a scene of arson and street battles. Writer: Oliver t.co/c23380hSdQ

🇫🇷 FRANCE IS FALLING! Police just confirmed that someone set fire to the University of Rouen-Normandy. The blaze broke out in the early hours of this morning, severely damaging the facade and roof of the Faculty of Arts building. Around 50 firefighters and 30 vehicles were deployed to tackle the flames. If Macron doesn't act decisively now, 10 more will burn tomorrow! Writer: Mhedi t.co/aPGqlU9wlh

🇫🇷 FIREFIGHTERS are trying to put out a fire in Lyon. But first, POLICE have to PROTECT THEM FROM THE MOB France is seeing another wave of violent unrest, and things have gotten particularly ugly at Place Bellecour in Lyon. The city's tourist office has caught fire, and local reports say hostile individuals are preventing firefighters from getting close enough to tackle the blaze. Earlier, protesters blocked roads, clashed with police and were met with tear gas as demonstrations over living costs spread across the country. People are angry about the cost of living. That's understandable. But firefighters aren't politicians. They're not responsible for anyone's bills or government policies. They're there to stop buildings from burning down. When the people trying to save lives need police protection just to do their jobs, something has gone terribly wrong! Writer: Oliver t.co/IwxZUpZGGq

🇪🇸 This migrant in Spain talked about how 'WITCHES' are often thrown OVERBOARD from boats trafficking illegal migrants from Africa. It's part of an insane trend of violence that saw dozens of people killed or thrown overboard in just one case last year. Good luck, Europe. Writer: Mhedi t.co/prAkUCW8FJ

🇦🇱 And now Albania? Some pretty wild scenes coming out of Tirana, with protesters clashing with police and fires breaking out as demonstrations against Prime Minister Edi Rama turn violent. France, Belgium, Italy, and now Albania...seriously, what is going on across Europe lately?! Writer: Lynn t.co/FaTH1LAHiO

Forget GTA VI, Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4 looks absolutely unhinged And brutally fkn savage Writer: Ian t.co/peQm1yKjO0

🇫🇷 Looting has commenced in Marseille. It comes only hours after the humanities building of the University of Rouen-Normandy was scorched in an arson attack. Where are the police!? Writer: Mhedi t.co/UYMyzG9pB3

Women in the military are just as capable as men... Meanwhile, women in the military Writer: Ian t.co/HEtK9Mgq25

🇸🇦🇮🇷 Iranian President Pezeshkian on his support for the Mecca alliance despite it being defined by a regional rival: "This is a step forward. Muslims should unite. We are ready to participate in this process. Of course, we do not know the details of their decisions. This could be a step toward Muslims coming together and achieving Islamic unity, rather than splitting into two groups and fighting one another." Writer: Mhedi t.co/q9y8VDcmFT

Mehdi Hasan came to this interview with receipts. He confronted Neera Tanden over the Center for American Progress hosting Netanyahu in 2015. Tanden said she now regrets it and wishes it had never happened. Then Mehdi pulled out an old email in which she reportedly told John Podesta that getting a Bain Capital figure on CAP's board made hosting Netanyahu worth it. Complete with a smiley face. Tanden said she didn't remember the email and pointed to the Obama administration's involvement. The moment he brought up that email, this became a very different interview. Writer: Lynn t.co/lFzgDxyZKU

They pushed for near absolute inclusivity, and GOT IT. Have fun with all of your fairy tales, Europe. 🤣 Writer: Mhedi t.co/2fzgm3sRRd

Good job he went outside before he started that one spinning Writer: Ian t.co/jKmJHsBQ47

🇮🇷 Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian on his belief that Islamic countries should unite across all fronts: "If Muslims sit down together, first of all, there is no such thing as an Arab country, a Turkish country or an Iranian country in this sense. We are Muslims. We were created from a man and a woman and made into peoples and tribes. What matters before God is piety, not whether you are Arab, Turkish or Persian. We should sit down and follow God's commandments." Writer: Mhedi t.co/U0cfy8IZuk

🇫🇷 More chaos coming out of France, this time in Marseille. As another wave of protests and unrest starts across the country, a fire reportedly started burning outside the city's cathedral. Meanwhile, Macron has been calling for calm and respect from Brussels. France is having one hell of an October. Writer: Lynn t.co/6SZlqdKaMt

🇫🇷 A look at how some demonstrations are unfolding in Marseille today. The mainstream media kept saying they were student protesters who are passionate about education reforms, so they're working very hard now to not be misunderstood. Writer: Mhedi t.co/DtXcEsao8y

🇦🇺 Kaley Koppa was clinically dead after suffering a cardiac arrest during her morning run in Brisbane, Australia It's only thanks to quick-thinking bystanders who performed CPR and used a nearby defibrillator that she survived In a world of conflict, the kindness of strangers always wins through Writer: Ian t.co/UDC64nzhLX

🇪🇸🇲🇦 70% of recent asylum applications made by those who overran Ceuta are made with the claim of being GAY! According to police reports, the spike is probably the result of some third party advising illegals from Morocco to seek asylum on these grounds after economic claims proved unsuccessful. Should there be some kind of test here? Source: Breitbart / Writer: Mhedi

🇬🇧 Pensioner with very little self-awareness randomly stuck a finger up at a driver for displaying the Union Jack. Dude thought he could keep the peace by telling the man that he thought he was a supporter of the Reform party. Writer: Mhedi t.co/t6hTdzwjdM

If Kai Cenat gets T-boned in that, he's in for a world of pain Writer: Ian t.co/UQIyC3Z4Cm

🇪🇬 Egypt's President el-Sisi is already talking about the end of his presidency. He says 2030 will be his final year in office, assuming he's still alive. “This is completely settled and will not be discussed.” Well, he's certainly not leaving much room for follow-up questions. Writer: Lynn t.co/rESjd9UxB8

🇸🇦🇾🇪 The identities of six Saudi Arabian soldiers reportedly killed in a Houthi ballistic missile strike on Yemen's Presidential Palace in Aden 2 days ago have been revealed: Rayan Ahmad Ali Al-Kinani Al-Zahrani Yahya Madini Al-Shaqibi Awad Jarad Saeed Al-Qarni Salman Hammad Al-Harthi Fayez Saeed Al-Qahtani Wael Al-Qarni The Houthis claimed the attack targeted a Saudi military operations headquarters inside the palace complex. Source: Rerum Novarum on Telegram / Writer: Mhedi

I don't think they drank the Smart Water before doing this Or if they did, it won't help them 😂 Writer: Ian t.co/HpCwqVoNxE

🇬🇧🇨🇳 Experts warn that a war in space could erupt within five years, as Britain prepares for a new era of military confrontation above Earth. British companies are working with the Ministry of Defence to develop technology capable of tracking, intercepting and potentially disabling hostile satellites. It comes as Russia is suspected of developing nuclear anti-satellite weapons, while China has been conducting sophisticated orbital maneuvers, including simulated satellite dogfights. Experts predict that future wars could begin with attacks on satellites, blinding enemy militaries, cutting communications and disrupting critical infrastructure before anything happens on the ground. Source: The Telegraph / Writer: Mhedi

🇺🇦 Ukraine is testing a massive new drone designed to evacuate wounded soldiers from the battlefield. Developed by Ukrainian manufacturer SkyFall, the StarGate drone can carry up to 150 kg over a distance of 15 km. Since the war began, Ukraine's domestic drone production has expanded from just 1,200 drones manufactured in 2022 to approximately 4 million in 2025. Source: GeoPWatch on Telegram / Writer: Mhedi