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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Iran war is heading toward another escalation, and neither side is ready to stop.
I spoke with Aaron David Miller, a veteran Middle East negotiator, about the growing signs of another confrontation between Washington and Tehran.
His assessment was grim.
He expects another round of strikes, probably after the U.S. midterms. But he doesn't believe it would end quickly.
Iran would likely retaliate against American bases and Gulf infrastructure, potentially dragging the region into another dangerous cycle.
What struck me was his explanation for why diplomacy keeps failing.
The two sides remain too far apart to reach an agreement, yet neither believes the cost of continuing the conflict is painful enough to justify serious concessions.
Meanwhile, the Houthis are becoming an increasingly powerful problem for Saudi Arabia, with their position near the Bab el-Mandeb giving them enormous leverage over international shipping.
Miller fears Yemen could become another prolonged war with no clear resolution.
The uncomfortable possibility is that nobody can win decisively, but everyone still believes they can afford to keep fighting.
And that's a particularly dangerous place for the Middle East to be.
@aarondmiller2
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halil toycu @haliltoycu ·
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@MarioNawfal Komisch Amerika greift den Iran an aber der Iran greift nur die islamischen Länder an ich dachte sie haben Probleme mit İsrail es ist mittlerweile ein Theaterstück
